7. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION
The future uses of quasar lenses, as in the past, divide into three
natural applications: study of the lenses, study of the sources, and
study of cosmology and galaxy evolution. I briefly summarise the
results from the main body of the review, and the prospects for the next
ten years.
- We already know
basic facts about lens mass distributions; elliptical galaxies have
isothermal mass distributions at low redshift, and there is some
indication of steepening with redshift. In prospect is a vast increase
in parameter space, with the ability to study the evolution of galaxy
mass profiles over a much wider range of redshift, and over different
masses of lens galaxies and Hubble types. Much of this work will be done
with lens-selected surveys, like the existing SLACS galaxy-galaxy
lenses; however, quasar lens systems give the opportunity to make large,
source-selected surveys and examine the statistical properties of lenses
independently of their selection. The major impact will be in the study
of substructure in lens galaxies, however. The existing sample of
substructure-friendly quasar lenses is very small and has already
yielded a large and surprising body of information about the small-scale
features of lensing galaxies. Expansion of these samples will provide
critical tests for galaxy formation models.
- Microlensing studies have yielded unprecedented
insights into the nature of quasars, particularly the proportions of
stellar and smooth matter within the mass budget and the properties
– size and physics – of the central engine and surrounding
emission line regions. These studies require multi-wavelength
observations and patient monitoring, and have concentrated on relatively
few objects. With future telescopes and high-cadence monitoring we can
expect that studies of quasar physics at huge effective resolution will
become routine.
- Perhaps the most important
future application of quasar lensing lies in a promise which has taken
some time to fulfil, that of cosmography. Many years passed between the
discovery of the first quasar lens and the first reliable determinations
of the Hubble constant. The process is now accelerating, thanks to
coordinated and long-term monitoring campaigns, allied to advances in
lens modelling and observation of individual lens systems. Such
investigations are already closing in on estimates of the Hubble
constant with stringent enough error constraints to contribute to the
overall cosmological world model. Future measurements on a large sample
of quasar lenses will give cosmological parameter estimates with error
circles orthogonal to many others, and factors of several increase in
figures of merit for dark energy searches.
- Finally, the prospect of huge lens samples carries
with it the probability of finding something totally new. We can
speculate about the likelihood of possible candidates - completely dark
lenses, cosmic strings - but with the expectation that the unexpected is
likely to prove more surprising still.
Acknowledgements
I thank Ian Browne for a careful reading of, and comments on, the
manuscript.