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Article Contents

ABSTRACT

1.INTRODUCTION

2.MEASUREMENT UNCERTAINTY

3.PROFESSED FREQUENTISM VERSUS PRACTICED SUBJECTIVISM

3.1.HEP physicists ``are frequentist''

3.2.HEP physicists ``are Bayesian''

3.3.Intuitive application of Bayes' theorem

3.4.Bayes versus Monte Carlo

4.EXPLICIT USE OF BAYESIAN METHODS IN HEP

5.EXAMPLES OF MISLEADING RESULTS INDUCED BY CONVENTIONAL STATISTICS

5.1.Claims of new physics based on p-values

5.2.What does a lower mass bound mean?